Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 9.355003 10.733466 12.202890 13.881246 15.740404 17.732019 20.022005
2025-02-16 6.844574 8.631481 10.677900 13.176319 16.124617 19.473133 23.542710
2025-02-23 5.085666 7.026243 9.404897 12.492054 16.346208 20.950852 26.815137
2025-03-02 3.920535 5.912629 8.515923 12.089081 16.779430 22.635056 30.395224
2025-03-09 3.160139 5.175841 7.970734 12.005047 17.539257 24.714653 34.548587
2025-03-16 2.535022 4.505869 7.400865 11.784396 18.048768 26.455534 38.329171
2025-03-23 2.246113 4.279965 7.415277 12.352109 19.642567 29.695960 44.231941
2025-03-30 1.908970 3.912136 7.157596 12.473649 20.583799 32.068677 49.054564
2025-04-06 1.524588 3.388266 6.576781 12.025316 20.627313 33.149212 52.103691
2025-04-13 1.201211 2.905238 5.987934 11.483705 20.457570 33.874456 54.640119
2025-04-20 1.084385 2.794288 6.017489 11.942479 21.851883 36.948221 60.677359
2025-04-27 1.046799 2.837050 6.322600 12.883693 24.060215 41.331187 68.796715
2025-05-04 0.958828 2.762484 6.412646 13.478664 25.775889 45.094499 76.230674
2025-05-11 0.819698 2.544383 6.200619 13.516213 26.569602 47.469987 81.676476
2025-05-18 0.671760 2.269070 5.834966 13.232152 26.790814 48.944729 85.795522
2025-05-25 0.556816 2.045635 5.541154 13.047073 27.158050 50.654168 90.327882
2025-06-01 0.477266 1.894976 5.379297 13.094939 27.926964 53.033339 95.978855
2025-06-08 0.396741 1.717304 5.128862 12.936612 28.303648 54.768009 100.650972
2025-06-15 0.373416 1.709278 5.271744 13.595285 30.218905 59.152906 109.733564
2025-06-22 0.326438 1.610578 5.181814 13.753840 31.200096 61.982152 116.363290
2025-06-29 0.258538 1.414730 4.817780 13.284002 30.947281 62.669096 119.478661
2025-07-06 0.199089 1.222564 4.426183 12.705526 30.433238 62.860864 121.754035
2025-07-13 0.184600 1.205793 4.507074 13.208035 32.086904 66.942748 130.694021